• givesomefucks@lemmy.worldOP
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    15 hours ago

    I’d love to see it by last election’s turnout percentage.

    Vermont went 64% D, let them go first.

    Wyoming got 26%, so they go last.

    Some state wants to go first? Tell em to work on their turnout in the general.

    It seems common sense, and in a close race it trickles down to battleground states after the main voting blocks, while maintaining their voter engagement.

    Plus while I don’t think primaries campaigns hurt generals like the DNC keeps saying, this let’s the Dem on Dem ads be ran in places that are voting blue no matter who.

    • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
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      13 hours ago

      Ooh… that’s a FANTASTIC idea that Iowa and New Hampshire will never let happen. ;)

      I think the trick is each state would need to run two primaries, but then some already do, and some run a caucus AND a primary.

      The problem here would be burning through all the blue states and not getting enough delegates to become the nominee. Then you really WOULD have Red states picking the candidate.

      Yeah, based on this delegate counter:

      https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/delegate-count-by-state

      By the time you burned through all the blue states, you’d have assigned 2,541 delegates with 1,976 needed to be the nominee. It’s possible that someone wouldn’t hit that number just based on the blue states.

      Under this model, the Democratic Primary for 2028 would be this, then invert it for the Republican Primary.

      District of Columbia - 90.3% - 39 delegates
      Vermont - 63.2% - 33
      Maryland - 62.6% - 134
      Massachusetts - 61.2% - 132
      Hawaii - 60.6% - 24
      California - 58.5% - 587
      Washington - 57.2% - 132
      Delaware - 56.6% - 37
      Connecticut - 56.4% - 88
      New York - 55.9% - 274
      Rhode Island - 55.5% - 45
      Oregon - 55.3% - 89
      Illinois - 54.4% - 222
      Colorado - 54.2% - 104
      Maine - 52.4% - 46
      New Jersey - 52.0% - 175
      New Mexico - 51.9% - 56
      Virginia - 51.8% - 99
      NE-2 - 51.3% - 65
      Minnesota - 50.9% - 114
      New Hampshire - 50.7% - 46

      Pennsylvania - 48.7%
      Wisconsin - 48.7%
      Georgia - 48.5%
      Michigan - 48.3%
      North Carolina - 47.7%
      Nevada - 47.5%
      Arizona - 46.7%
      ME-2 - 44.8%
      Ohio - 43.9%
      Florida - 43.0%
      Iowa - 42.5%
      Texas - 42.5%
      Alaska - 41.4%
      Kansas - 41.0%
      South Carolina - 40.4%
      Missouri - 40.1%
      Indiana - 39.6%
      Nebraska - 38.9%
      Montana - 38.5%
      Louisiana - 38.2%
      Mississippi - 38.0%
      Utah - 37.8%
      Tennessee - 34.5%
      South Dakota - 34.2%
      Alabama - 34.1%
      Kentucky - 33.9%
      Arkansas - 33.6%
      Oklahoma - 31.9%
      North Dakota - 30.5%
      Idaho - 30.4%
      West Virginia - 28.1%
      Wyoming - 25.8%